Excitation Design and Guaranteed Robustness Bounds for Residuation-Based Identification of Max-Plus Linear Discrete Event Systems

Ghadir AryanFaculty of Information Engineering, University of Idlib, Idlib, Syria & École Centrale de Nantes, Nantes Cedex 3, France

Vol 10 No 9 (2026): Volume 10, Issue 9, September 2026 | Pages: 150-163

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 26-09-2026

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2026.109016

Abstract

Timed event graphs describe manufacturing lines, transport networks and computing pipelines governed by synchronisation and delay, and they are linear over the max-plus dioid. Estimating their temporal parameters from one record of input and output firing dates is classically solved by residuation, which returns the greatest parameter vector whose predicted output never exceeds the measured one. This paper establishes when that estimator is trustworthy. First, a parameter is recovered exactly if and only if its regressor attains the maximum in the measured output at least once; for constant-rate excitation this yields closed-form critical rates governed by the chord slopes of the transient block, not by the eigenvalue as previously assumed, the eigenvalue governing only the periodic block. Second, the minimum record length is obtained in closed form and diverges as the excitation rate approaches the eigenvalue, which shows that the reported insensitivity to record length is an artefact of testing far from the critical rate. Third, the estimator is proved non-expansive with respect to timestamp errors, and under non-negatively biased timestamps the identified model is proved to be a guaranteed upper bound on the true system, so predicted completion dates are never optimistic. A campaign on two plants comprising more than seven thousand runs confirms every statement: the exactness criterion reproduces recovery in sixty of sixty cases, the record-length law holds in eighteen of nineteen configurations, and conservativeness is observed in all two thousand four hundred one-sided runs against none under symmetric errors. Excitation design rules follow.

Keywords

max-plus algebra, dioid, timed event graph, discrete event system, system identification, residuation, identifiability, experiment design, robustness, manufacturing systems.


Citation of this Article

Ghadir Aryan. (2026). Excitation Design and Guaranteed Robustness Bounds for Residuation-Based Identification of Max-Plus Linear Discrete Event Systems. International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, 10(9), 150-163. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2026.109016

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G. Aryan, “A unified residuation framework for the identification of max-plus linear systems: moving-average, recursive and structural estimation,” manuscript submitted to the International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology (IRJIET), 2026.